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“in 1995, We Said The Internet Would Fail”

What’s the most wrong you’ve ever been?

I mean really wrong. Not, like, getting-the-capital-of-Illinois wrong. Not predicting-the-Mets-to-win-the-World-Series wrong. I am talking wrong wrong, a realm of inaccuracy known not even by Columbus (when he thought he’d reached the Indies) or the guys who thought New Coke was a good idea.

What I’m saying is that there’s wrong … and then theres Clifford Stolls NEWSWEEK essay about the Internet from 1995.

Let’s get this over with. Here is a list of things Stoll calls “baloney” oneach and every one of which has a thriving utility in 2010:

telecommuting
interactive libraries
multimedia classrooms
electronic town meetings
virtual communities
taking a computer to the beach

getting books and newspapers online
e-commerce, online shopping, and e-payments

booking airline tickets and restaurant reservations
cybersex

Stoll also complains at length that it is nigh on impossible to use this Internet contraption to find the date of the Battle of Trafalgar. The headlineTHE INTERNET? BAH!reads as if Montgomery Burns was working the NEWSWEEK copy desk that night. And so on. You get the idea.

Most Americans are not in the habit of sending around 15-year-old NEWSWEEK columns, but they make an exception for Stoll. This is an essay that will not diethe only thing worse for a writer than an essay that no one remembers. Stoll’s “Bah!” lives on in tweets”a hilarious cane-waving Newsweek article from ’95. Can’t stop laughing”and blog posts and never-ending e-mail chains. FW: FW: FW: FW: FW: fwd: fwd: Newsweek on why the internet will fail – bananas!! In March 2008, the piece received 3,663 Diggs. Decca Records didn’t get this much heat for passing on the Beatles.

It’s getting to be a little much. Our Mark Coatney, who is something of a living rebuttal to Stoll in that he mans NEWSWEEK’s Twitter and Tumblr feeds all day, blogged about this last week, after seeing a NEWSWEEK/Internet/1995/morons tweet for the umpteenth time. “While this does crack us up,” Coatney wrote, “… in many ways, Cliff Stoll wasn’t wrong. The Internet really did suck then, and it really was a hucksters paradise. But the fatal flaw in his argument was his assumption that it was never going to get any better.” Today, undoubtedly, we all have beliefs about the future of the digital age that would seem hilarious when viewed from 2025.

Now, what does Stoll have to say about all of this? Oh, right, I can use the Internet to find out. The answer is that he is being a good sport. He saw his folly highlighted on Boing Boing last week, and contributed this comment:

Of my many mistakes, flubs, and howlers, few have been as public as my 1995 howler.

Wrong? Yep.

At the time, I was trying to speak against the tide of futuristic commentary on how The Internet Will Solve Our Problems.

Gives me pause. Most of my screwups have had limited publicity: Forgetting my lines in my 4th grade play. Misidentifying a Gilbert and Sullivan song while suddenly drafted to fill in as announcer on a classical radio station. Wasting a week hunting for planets interior to Mercurys orbit using an infrared system with a noise level so high that it couldnt possibly detect em. Hecktrying to dry my sneakers in a microwave oven (a quarter century later, theres still a smudge on the kitchen ceiling)

And, as Ive laughed at others foibles, I think back to some of my own cringeworthy contributions.

Now, whenever I think I know whats happening, I temper my thoughts: Might be wrong, Cliff

Warm cheers to all,

Cliff Stoll on a rainy Friday afternoon in Oakland

If Cliff Stoll was an Internet curmudgeon, then he has aged into a magnanimous one. A class act, on the Web? In 1995, no one could have predicted that.

Source: blog.newsweek.com

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Dialing Into The Future, From My Wrist

Cell phones keep getting smaller and smallerand now they’re starting to disappear altogether, as the workings of a mobile phone can be contained in the guts of a wristwatch.

For the past week I’ve been using the W Phonewatch made by Kempler & Strauss. The device is basically a slightly oversize wristwatch with a touchscreen face. You type out numbers on a tiny keypad, and use either a Bluetooth device (your own, or one that comes with the W phone) or the built-in speaker and microphone in the watch itself.

To be sure, the W is far from perfect. It’s tough pecking out numbers on that tiny keypad. Call quality isn’t great. The menu system leaves a lot to be desired. In short, the W Phonewatch definitely won’t replace your primary cell phone. But it costs only $200 and makes you feel like you’ve time-traveled into a futuristic sci-fi movie. Or time-traveled backward and you’re Dick Tracy. Either way, it’s very cool, a great conversation starter.

The W also offers a glimpse of what we might expect in the not-too-distant future from other companies. Korean giant LG Electronics makes a wristwatch phone called the GD910 that’s a bit larger than the W phone and costs about $800. It not only makes phone calls but can also do videoconferencinghow totally Blade Runner is that? Today the GD910 is available in Europe, and is making its way to the U.S.

The makers admit the W Phonewatch is a bit of a novelty item. “It’s an add-on, a gadget that you use occasionally. When you go jogging, or biking, and you want to have a cell phone with youit keeps things simple,” says Mario Cisneros, vice president at Kempler & Strauss, in San Diego.

Cisneros says the company has sold 2,500 units in the two months since the W Phonewatch began shipping. The watch was designed in California and manufactured in China. The phone has a built-in camera that can take still photos and record video (neither in very great detail, but still) plus calendar and contacts software, a micro SD slot and a stereo MP3 player.

You can also send text messages, but this capability might as well remain theoretical, as trying to peck out words on the tiny touchkeys is a good way to drive yourself insane.

In Europe, Kempler & Strauss sells the W Phonewatch via retailers. But here in the States you can only buy one from the company’s Web site. Then you need to get a SIM card from a GSM carrier, either AT&T or T-Mobile.

Kempler & Strauss is a tiny companyjust 10 employees in San Diego, and 20 in Hong Kongso don’t expect an Apple-quality user interface. The software, in fact, can be a bit maddening. Even simple things like setting the correct time can be somewhat frustrating.

But this device could come in handy. My primary cell phone is an Apple iPhone. But I don’t like to carry the iPhone when I’m skiing. Instead, I could set up the iPhone to forward calls to the W Phonewatch, so at least I could be reachable on the slopes.

That, at least, is the argument I would use when trying to explain to my wife why I need this. It’s much easier than telling her the truth, which is that, like most grown men, I’m secretly still a 9-year-old boy, and a wristwatch phone is just so cool that I must have one, right now.

Source: blog.newsweek.com

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